El Niño Report/Archive/2026-11-04
Archived report from Wednesday 4 November 2026. See El Niño Report for today's report.
El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Wednesday 4 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.
⚠️ Heavy rain possible
- Today: Salinas (21 mm, 100%), La Libertad (21 mm, 100%), Santa Elena (21 mm, 100%), San Pablo (17 mm, 100%), Palmar (20 mm, 100%), Ayangue (20 mm, 100%), Valdivia (25 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (29 mm, 100%), Cadeate (29 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (29 mm, 100%), Montañita (29 mm, 100%), Olón (30 mm, 100%), San José (30 mm, 100%), La Entrada (30 mm, 100%), Ayampe (26 mm, 100%)
- Tomorrow: Salinas (13 mm, 98%), La Libertad (13 mm, 98%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 98%), San Pablo (15 mm, 98%), Palmar (11 mm, 98%), Ayangue (11 mm, 96%), Valdivia (11 mm, 96%), Libertador Bolívar (16 mm, 96%), Cadeate (16 mm, 96%), Manglaralto (16 mm, 96%), Montañita (16 mm, 96%), Olón (12 mm, 96%), San José (12 mm, 96%), La Entrada (12 mm, 96%), Ayampe (12 mm, 96%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.
🌊 El Niño watch
| Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2) +5.4°C Much warmer than normal Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct |
4-week trend Steady |
Central Pacific (Niño 3.4) +3.4°C the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño |
What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.
Today
| Town | Conditions | High / Low | Rain | Humidity | UV | Wind | Waves | Sea state | Sea temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Peninsula | |||||||||
| Salinas | 🌧️ Rain showers | 27° / 25°C | 100% · 20.7 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 5 (Moderate) | 17 km/h SW | 1.8 m · 13 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| La Libertad | 🌧️ Rain showers | 27° / 25°C | 100% · 20.7 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 5 (Moderate) | 17 km/h SW | 1.5 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Santa Elena | 🌧️ Rain showers | 27° / 25°C | 100% · 20.7 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 5 (Moderate) | 17 km/h SW | 1.5 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Ruta del Spondylus | |||||||||
| San Pablo | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 16.6 mm | 90% (max 98%) | 6 (High) | 14 km/h W | 0.9 m · 10 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Palmar | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 25°C | 100% · 20.3 mm | 90% (max 96%) | 6 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.0 m · 10 s SW | Slight | 29.1°C |
| Ayangue | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 25°C | 100% · 20.3 mm | 90% (max 96%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Valdivia | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 25°C | 100% · 25.0 mm | 91% (max 96%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.0 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Libertador Bolívar | 🌧️ Rain showers | 27° / 24°C | 100% · 28.6 mm | 94% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.1 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| Cadeate | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 25°C | 100% · 28.6 mm | 94% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Manglaralto | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 25°C | 100% · 28.6 mm | 94% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Montañita | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 25°C | 100% · 28.6 mm | 94% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 14 km/h W | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Olón | ⛈️ Violent showers | 28° / 24°C | 100% · 29.7 mm | 93% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 10 km/h W | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| San José | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 100% · 29.7 mm | 93% (max 98%) | 8 (Very high) | 10 km/h W | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| La Entrada | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 100% · 29.7 mm | 93% (max 98%) | 8 (Very high) | 10 km/h W | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| Ayampe | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 24°C | 100% · 25.6 mm | 94% (max 99%) | 8 (Very high) | 9 km/h S | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
7-day outlook
The Peninsula
| Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌧️ Rain showers 27° / 25° 💧 100% Humidity 90% |
🌦️ Rain showers 27° / 24° 💧 98% Humidity 88% |
🌦️ Drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 87% Humidity 83% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 82% Humidity 86% |
🌦️ Light drizzle 30° / 24° 💧 92% Humidity 85% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 25° 💧 84% Humidity 86% |
🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 90% Humidity 86% |
Ruta del Spondylus
| Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24° 💧 100% Humidity 93% |
🌦️ Rain showers 27° / 24° 💧 96% Humidity 91% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 23° 💧 81% Humidity 87% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 71% Humidity 88% |
🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 83% Humidity 85% |
🌧️ Heavy drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 92% Humidity 89% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 92% Humidity 91% |
Waves and sea conditions
| Beach | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas | 1.8 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.6 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.2 m 12 s SW Slight |
| La Libertad | 1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Santa Elena | 1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
| San Pablo | 0.9 m 10 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Palmar | 1.0 m 10 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
| Ayangue | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 12 s W Slight |
| Valdivia | 1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.6 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
| Libertador Bolívar | 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Cadeate | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Manglaralto | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Montañita | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
| Olón | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
| San José | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
| La Entrada | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
| Ayampe | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.