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El Niño Report

From EcuaWiki

El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Monday 2 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 17:46, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.

⚠️ Heavy rain possible

  • Today: Salinas (23 mm, 100%), La Libertad (23 mm, 100%), Santa Elena (23 mm, 100%), San Pablo (29 mm, 100%), Palmar (25 mm, 100%), Ayangue (25 mm, 100%), Valdivia (24 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (26 mm, 100%), Cadeate (26 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (26 mm, 100%), Montañita (26 mm, 100%), Olón (23 mm, 100%), San José (23 mm, 100%), La Entrada (23 mm, 100%), Ayampe (24 mm, 100%)
  • Tomorrow: Salinas (10 mm, 78%), La Libertad (10 mm, 78%), Santa Elena (10 mm, 78%), San Pablo (16 mm, 78%), Palmar (14 mm, 78%), Ayangue (14 mm, 93%), Valdivia (13 mm, 93%), Libertador Bolívar (10 mm, 93%), Cadeate (10 mm, 93%), Manglaralto (10 mm, 93%), Montañita (10 mm, 93%), Olón (8 mm, 93%), San José (8 mm, 93%), La Entrada (8 mm, 93%), Ayampe (5 mm, 93%)

Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.

🌊 El Niño watch

Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2)
+5.4°C
Much warmer than normal
Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct
4-week trend
Steady
Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)
+3.4°C
the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks

What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.

Today

Town Conditions High / Low Rain Humidity UV Wind Waves Sea state Sea temp
The Peninsula
Salinas 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 23.4 mm 88% (max 98%) 4 (Moderate) 13 km/h S 1.7 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.0°C
La Libertad 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 23.4 mm 88% (max 98%) 4 (Moderate) 13 km/h S 1.4 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.1°C
Santa Elena 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 23.4 mm 88% (max 98%) 4 (Moderate) 13 km/h S 1.4 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.1°C
Ruta del Spondylus
San Pablo 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 28.7 mm 91% (max 99%) 4 (Moderate) 12 km/h S 0.9 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.1°C
Palmar 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 24.9 mm 93% (max 99%) 3 (Low) 12 km/h SE 1.0 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.0°C
Ayangue 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 24.9 mm 93% (max 99%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h SE 1.2 m · 13 s SW Slight 29.2°C
Valdivia 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 23.6 mm 92% (max 97%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h SE 1.0 m · 13 s SW Slight 29.2°C
Libertador Bolívar 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 23°C 100% · 25.7 mm 94% (max 98%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h S 1.1 m · 13 s SW Slight 29.2°C
Cadeate 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 25.7 mm 94% (max 98%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h S 1.3 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.2°C
Manglaralto 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 25.7 mm 94% (max 98%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h S 1.3 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.2°C
Montañita 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 100% · 25.7 mm 94% (max 98%) 2 (Low) 12 km/h S 1.3 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.2°C
Olón 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 22.7 mm 92% (max 98%) 2 (Low) 10 km/h S 1.3 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.2°C
San José 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 22.7 mm 92% (max 98%) 3 (Low) 10 km/h S 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.2°C
La Entrada 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 22.7 mm 92% (max 98%) 3 (Low) 10 km/h S 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.2°C
Ayampe 🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 23.7 mm 93% (max 99%) 3 (Low) 11 km/h S 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.2°C

7-day outlook

7-day temperature and chance of rain
7-day temperature and chance of rain

The Peninsula

Mon 2 Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 100%
Humidity 88%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 78%
Humidity 83%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 82%
Humidity 85%
🌦️
Light drizzle
29° / 25°
💧 73%
Humidity 83%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 23°
💧 73%
Humidity 85%
🌦️
Light drizzle
28° / 25°
💧 85%
Humidity 84%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 25°
💧 88%
Humidity 88%

Ruta del Spondylus

Mon 2 Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8
🌧️
Rain showers
28° / 24°
💧 100%
Humidity 93%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 91%
Humidity 89%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 88%
Humidity 88%
🌦️
Light drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 79%
Humidity 86%
🌦️
Light drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 79%
Humidity 86%
🌦️
Light drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 70%
Humidity 87%
🌦️
Drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 85%
Humidity 91%

Waves and sea conditions

7-day maximum wave height
7-day maximum wave height
Beach Mon 2 Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8
Salinas 1.7 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.7 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.8 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.5 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
14 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
La Libertad 1.4 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.4 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.5 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
Santa Elena 1.4 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.4 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.5 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
San Pablo 0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
10 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
Palmar 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
10 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
14 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
Ayangue 1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
Valdivia 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.6 m
13 s W
Slight
Libertador Bolívar 1.1 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
Cadeate 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
Manglaralto 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
Montañita 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
Olón 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
San José 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
11 s SW
Slight
La Entrada 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
11 s SW
Slight
Ayampe 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
11 s SW
Slight

Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.

See also