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El Niño Report: Difference between revisions

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El Niño Report for 2026-11-04
El Niño Report for 2026-11-05
 
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<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
<div style="background:#eef6fb;border-left:5px solid #1e78b4;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
<div style="background:#eef6fb;border-left:5px solid #1e78b4;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Wednesday 4 November 2026'''<br/>
'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Thursday 5 November 2026'''<br/>
<small>Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].</small>
<small>Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].</small>
</div>
</div>
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<div style="background:#fdecea;border-left:5px solid #c0392b;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
<div style="background:#fdecea;border-left:5px solid #c0392b;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible'''<br/>
'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible'''<br/>
* '''Today:''' Salinas (21 mm, 100%), La Libertad (21 mm, 100%), Santa Elena (21 mm, 100%), San Pablo (17 mm, 100%), Palmar (20 mm, 100%), Ayangue (20 mm, 100%), Valdivia (25 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (29 mm, 100%), Cadeate (29 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (29 mm, 100%), Montañita (29 mm, 100%), Olón (30 mm, 100%), San José (30 mm, 100%), La Entrada (30 mm, 100%), Ayampe (26 mm, 100%)
* '''Today:''' Salinas (65 mm, 99%), La Libertad (65 mm, 99%), Santa Elena (65 mm, 99%), San Pablo (35 mm, 99%), Palmar (19 mm, 99%), Ayangue (19 mm, 94%), Valdivia (17 mm, 94%), Libertador Bolívar (25 mm, 94%), Cadeate (25 mm, 94%), Manglaralto (25 mm, 94%), Montañita (25 mm, 94%), Olón (40 mm, 94%), San José (40 mm, 94%), La Entrada (40 mm, 94%), Ayampe (38 mm, 94%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (13 mm, 98%), La Libertad (13 mm, 98%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 98%), San Pablo (15 mm, 98%), Palmar (11 mm, 98%), Ayangue (11 mm, 96%), Valdivia (11 mm, 96%), Libertador Bolívar (16 mm, 96%), Cadeate (16 mm, 96%), Manglaralto (16 mm, 96%), Montañita (16 mm, 96%), Olón (12 mm, 96%), San José (12 mm, 96%), La Entrada (12 mm, 96%), Ayampe (12 mm, 96%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (6 mm, 92%), La Libertad (6 mm, 92%), Santa Elena (6 mm, 92%), San Pablo (6 mm, 92%), Palmar (4 mm, 92%), Ayangue (4 mm, 92%), Valdivia (7 mm, 92%), Libertador Bolívar (9 mm, 92%), Cadeate (9 mm, 92%), Manglaralto (9 mm, 92%), Montañita (9 mm, 92%), Olón (7 mm, 92%), San José (7 mm, 92%), La Entrada (7 mm, 92%), Ayampe (12 mm, 92%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
</div>
</div>
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| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">+3.4°C</span><br/><small>the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño</small>
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">+3.4°C</span><br/><small>the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño</small>
|}
|}
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-04_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-05_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
<small>'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].</small>
<small>'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].</small>


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| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
|-
|-
| [[Salinas]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 27° / 25°C || 100% · 20.7 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 5 (Moderate) || 17 km/h SW || 1.8 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
| [[Salinas]] || ⛈️ Thunderstorm || 28° / 24°C || 99% · 65.0 mm || 88% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h W || 1.7 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.1°C
|-
|-
| [[La Libertad]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 27° / 25°C || 100% · 20.7 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 5 (Moderate) || 17 km/h SW || 1.5 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
| [[La Libertad]] || ⛈️ Thunderstorm || 28° / 24°C || 99% · 65.0 mm || 88% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h W || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Santa Elena]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 27° / 25°C || 100% · 20.7 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 5 (Moderate) || 17 km/h SW || 1.5 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
| [[Santa Elena]] || ⛈️ Thunderstorm || 28° / 24°C || 99% · 65.0 mm || 88% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h W || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
|-
|-
| [[San Pablo]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 16.6 mm || 90% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 6 (High) || 14 km/h W || 0.9 m · 10 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
| [[San Pablo]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 28° / 24°C || 99% · 34.8 mm || 90% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 0.9 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Palmar]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 100% · 20.3 mm || 90% <small>(max 96%)</small> || 6 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.0 m · 10 s SW || Slight || 29.1°C
| [[Palmar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 99% · 18.8 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 12 km/h NW || 1.0 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 100% · 20.3 mm || 90% <small>(max 96%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 94% · 18.8 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 8 (High) || 12 km/h NW || 1.1 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 25°C || 100% · 25.0 mm || 91% <small>(max 96%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.0 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 16.5 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 0.9 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 27° / 24°C || 100% · 28.6 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.1 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 26° / 24°C || 94% · 25.0 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.0 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Cadeate]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 25°C || 100% · 28.6 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
| [[Cadeate]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 25.0 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 7 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[Manglaralto]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 25°C || 100% · 28.6 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
| [[Manglaralto]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 25.0 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 7 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[Montañita]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 25°C || 100% · 28.6 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 14 km/h W || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
| [[Montañita]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 25.0 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 7 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[Olón]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 29.7 mm || 93% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (High) || 10 km/h W || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
| [[Olón]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 28° / 24°C || 94% · 39.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 7 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[San José]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 100% · 29.7 mm || 93% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 10 km/h W || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
| [[San José]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 39.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[La Entrada]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 100% · 29.7 mm || 93% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 10 km/h W || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
| [[La Entrada]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 27° / 24°C || 94% · 39.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (High) || 13 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|-
|-
| [[Ayampe]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.6 mm || 94% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 9 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
| [[Ayampe]] || ⛈️ Violent showers || 28° / 24°C || 94% · 37.6 mm || 92% <small>(max 100%)</small> || 8 (High) || 10 km/h NW || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.5°C
|}
|}


== 7-day outlook ==
== 7-day outlook ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-04_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-05_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]


=== The Peninsula ===
=== The Peninsula ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10
! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10 !! Wed 11
|-
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''27°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 90%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''27°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 98%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 87%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 82%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 92%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 84%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 90%<br/>Humidity 86%</small>
| ⛈️<br/><small>Thunderstorm</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 99%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 92%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 80%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Heavy drizzle</small><br/>'''30°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 91%<br/>Humidity 84%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 94%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 90%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 76%<br/>Humidity 86%</small>
|}
|}


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{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10
! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10 !! Wed 11
|-
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 93%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''27°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 96%<br/>Humidity 91%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 23°<br/><small>💧 81%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 71%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 83%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Heavy drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 92%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 92%<br/>Humidity 91%</small>
| ⛈️<br/><small>Violent showers</small><br/>'''27°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 95%<br/>Humidity 91%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 23°<br/><small>💧 92%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 78%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 84%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 96%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 93%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 86%<br/>Humidity 89%</small>
|}
|}


== Waves and sea conditions ==
== Waves and sea conditions ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-04_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-05_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]


{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Beach !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10
! Beach !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9 !! Tue 10 !! Wed 11
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>12 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|}
|}
<small>Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.</small>
<small>Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.</small>

Latest revision as of 10:47, 5 November 2026

El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Thursday 5 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.

⚠️ Heavy rain possible

  • Today: Salinas (65 mm, 99%), La Libertad (65 mm, 99%), Santa Elena (65 mm, 99%), San Pablo (35 mm, 99%), Palmar (19 mm, 99%), Ayangue (19 mm, 94%), Valdivia (17 mm, 94%), Libertador Bolívar (25 mm, 94%), Cadeate (25 mm, 94%), Manglaralto (25 mm, 94%), Montañita (25 mm, 94%), Olón (40 mm, 94%), San José (40 mm, 94%), La Entrada (40 mm, 94%), Ayampe (38 mm, 94%)
  • Tomorrow: Salinas (6 mm, 92%), La Libertad (6 mm, 92%), Santa Elena (6 mm, 92%), San Pablo (6 mm, 92%), Palmar (4 mm, 92%), Ayangue (4 mm, 92%), Valdivia (7 mm, 92%), Libertador Bolívar (9 mm, 92%), Cadeate (9 mm, 92%), Manglaralto (9 mm, 92%), Montañita (9 mm, 92%), Olón (7 mm, 92%), San José (7 mm, 92%), La Entrada (7 mm, 92%), Ayampe (12 mm, 92%)

Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.

🌊 El Niño watch

Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2)
+5.4°C
Much warmer than normal
Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct
4-week trend
Steady
Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)
+3.4°C
the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks

What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.

Today

Town Conditions High / Low Rain Humidity UV Wind Waves Sea state Sea temp
The Peninsula
Salinas ⛈️ Thunderstorm 28° / 24°C 99% · 65.0 mm 88% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h W 1.7 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.1°C
La Libertad ⛈️ Thunderstorm 28° / 24°C 99% · 65.0 mm 88% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h W 1.4 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.4°C
Santa Elena ⛈️ Thunderstorm 28° / 24°C 99% · 65.0 mm 88% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h W 1.4 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.4°C
Ruta del Spondylus
San Pablo ⛈️ Violent showers 28° / 24°C 99% · 34.8 mm 90% (max 98%) 8 (High) 13 km/h NW 0.9 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.4°C
Palmar 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 99% · 18.8 mm 90% (max 97%) 8 (Very high) 12 km/h NW 1.0 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Ayangue 🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24°C 94% · 18.8 mm 90% (max 97%) 8 (High) 12 km/h NW 1.1 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.4°C
Valdivia 🌧️ Rain showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 16.5 mm 90% (max 97%) 8 (High) 13 km/h NW 0.9 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Libertador Bolívar ⛈️ Violent showers 26° / 24°C 94% · 25.0 mm 92% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.0 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.4°C
Cadeate ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 25.0 mm 92% (max 99%) 7 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.5°C
Manglaralto ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 25.0 mm 92% (max 99%) 7 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.5°C
Montañita ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 25.0 mm 92% (max 99%) 7 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.5°C
Olón ⛈️ Violent showers 28° / 24°C 94% · 39.7 mm 92% (max 99%) 7 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.5°C
San José ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 39.7 mm 92% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.5°C
La Entrada ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24°C 94% · 39.7 mm 92% (max 99%) 8 (High) 13 km/h NW 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.5°C
Ayampe ⛈️ Violent showers 28° / 24°C 94% · 37.6 mm 92% (max 100%) 8 (High) 10 km/h NW 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.5°C

7-day outlook

7-day temperature and chance of rain
7-day temperature and chance of rain

The Peninsula

Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9 Tue 10 Wed 11
⛈️
Thunderstorm
28° / 24°
💧 99%
Humidity 88%
🌦️
Rain showers
28° / 24°
💧 92%
Humidity 87%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 80%
Humidity 87%
🌧️
Heavy drizzle
30° / 25°
💧 91%
Humidity 84%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 94%
Humidity 87%
🌧️
Rain showers
30° / 24°
💧 90%
Humidity 86%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 76%
Humidity 86%

Ruta del Spondylus

Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9 Tue 10 Wed 11
⛈️
Violent showers
27° / 24°
💧 95%
Humidity 91%
🌦️
Rain showers
28° / 23°
💧 92%
Humidity 89%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 78%
Humidity 89%
🌦️
Rain showers
30° / 24°
💧 84%
Humidity 87%
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 96%
Humidity 88%
🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 93%
Humidity 89%
🌦️
Rain showers
30° / 24°
💧 86%
Humidity 89%

Waves and sea conditions

7-day maximum wave height
7-day maximum wave height
Beach Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9 Tue 10 Wed 11
Salinas 1.7 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
La Libertad 1.4 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.1 m
13 s SW
Slight
Santa Elena 1.4 m
12 s SW
Moderate
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.1 m
13 s SW
Slight
San Pablo 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
12 s SW
Slight
Palmar 1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
12 s W
Slight
Ayangue 1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
0.8 m
12 s W
Slight
0.9 m
12 s W
Slight
Valdivia 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
12 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.6 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
0.7 m
12 s W
Slight
Libertador Bolívar 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.7 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
Cadeate 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
Manglaralto 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
Montañita 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
Olón 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
12 s SW
Slight
San José 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
La Entrada 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
Ayampe 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight
0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight

Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.

See also