Jump to content 
 🎉 What's happening on the coast? Check out upcoming community events, live music, and workshops on Agenda EcuaWiki!
 View Calendar →

El Niño Report: Difference between revisions

From EcuaWiki
← Older editNewer edit →

Este-fan (talk | contribs)

3 user groups
12,582 edits
VisualWikitext
El Niño Report for 2026-11-02
El Niño Report for 2026-11-03
Line 2: Line 2:
<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
<div style="background:#eef6fb;border-left:5px solid #1e78b4;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
<div style="background:#eef6fb;border-left:5px solid #1e78b4;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Monday 2 November 2026'''<br/>
'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Tuesday 3 November 2026'''<br/>
<small>Updated automatically every morning (last update 17:46, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].</small>
<small>Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].</small>
</div>
</div>


<div style="background:#fdecea;border-left:5px solid #c0392b;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
<div style="background:#fdecea;border-left:5px solid #c0392b;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible'''<br/>
'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible'''<br/>
* '''Today:''' Salinas (23 mm, 100%), La Libertad (23 mm, 100%), Santa Elena (23 mm, 100%), San Pablo (29 mm, 100%), Palmar (25 mm, 100%), Ayangue (25 mm, 100%), Valdivia (24 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (26 mm, 100%), Cadeate (26 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (26 mm, 100%), Montañita (26 mm, 100%), Olón (23 mm, 100%), San José (23 mm, 100%), La Entrada (23 mm, 100%), Ayampe (24 mm, 100%)
* '''Today:''' Salinas (13 mm, 86%), La Libertad (13 mm, 86%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 86%), San Pablo (15 mm, 86%), Palmar (12 mm, 86%), Ayangue (12 mm, 100%), Valdivia (11 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (14 mm, 100%), Cadeate (14 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (14 mm, 100%), Montañita (14 mm, 100%), Olón (9 mm, 100%), San José (9 mm, 100%), La Entrada (9 mm, 100%), Ayampe (9 mm, 100%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (10 mm, 78%), La Libertad (10 mm, 78%), Santa Elena (10 mm, 78%), San Pablo (16 mm, 78%), Palmar (14 mm, 78%), Ayangue (14 mm, 93%), Valdivia (13 mm, 93%), Libertador Bolívar (10 mm, 93%), Cadeate (10 mm, 93%), Manglaralto (10 mm, 93%), Montañita (10 mm, 93%), Olón (8 mm, 93%), San José (8 mm, 93%), La Entrada (8 mm, 93%), Ayampe (5 mm, 93%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (32 mm, 88%), La Libertad (32 mm, 88%), Santa Elena (32 mm, 88%), San Pablo (37 mm, 88%), Palmar (35 mm, 88%), Ayangue (35 mm, 99%), Valdivia (41 mm, 99%), Libertador Bolívar (41 mm, 99%), Cadeate (41 mm, 99%), Manglaralto (41 mm, 99%), Montañita (41 mm, 99%), Olón (13 mm, 99%), San José (13 mm, 99%), La Entrada (13 mm, 99%), Ayampe (8 mm, 99%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
</div>
</div>
Line 20: Line 20:
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">+3.4°C</span><br/><small>the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño</small>
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">+3.4°C</span><br/><small>the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño</small>
|}
|}
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
<small>'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].</small>
<small>'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].</small>


Line 29: Line 29:
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
|-
|-
| [[Salinas]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.7 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.0°C
| [[Salinas]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.8 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.0°C
|-
|-
| [[La Libertad]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.4 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.1°C
| [[La Libertad]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Santa Elena]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.4 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.1°C
| [[Santa Elena]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
|-
|-
| [[San Pablo]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 28.7 mm || 91% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 12 km/h S || 0.9 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.1°C
| [[San Pablo]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 31° / 24°C || 86% · 15.1 mm || 87% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 0.9 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Palmar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 24.9 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.0 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.0°C
| [[Palmar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 86% · 12.2 mm || 89% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h SW || 1.0 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
|-
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 24.9 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.2 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 12.2 mm || 89% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h SW || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 23.6 mm || 92% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.0 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 11.2 mm || 89% <small>(max 96%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h S || 1.0 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 23°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.1 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 8 (Very high) || 14 km/h S || 1.1 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Cadeate]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
| [[Cadeate]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Manglaralto]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
| [[Manglaralto]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
|-
| [[Montañita]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
| [[Montañita]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Olón]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
| [[Olón]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[San José]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[San José]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[La Entrada]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[La Entrada]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
|-
| [[Ayampe]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.7 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 11 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
| [[Ayampe]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 7 (High) || 11 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|}
|}


== 7-day outlook ==
== 7-day outlook ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]


=== The Peninsula ===
=== The Peninsula ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 78%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 82%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 73%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 23°<br/><small>💧 73%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''28°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 85%<br/>Humidity 84%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 88%<br/>Humidity 88%</small>
| 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 86%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 88%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 83%<br/>Humidity 82%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 86%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 64%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 82%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 86%<br/>Humidity 87%</small>
|}
|}


Line 76: Line 76:
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 93%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 91%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 88%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 79%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 79%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 70%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 85%<br/>Humidity 91%</small>
| 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 98%<br/>Humidity 90%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 97%<br/>Humidity 90%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 85%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 84%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 60%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''30°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 81%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Heavy drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 93%<br/>Humidity 90%</small>
|}
|}


== Waves and sea conditions ==
== Waves and sea conditions ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]


{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
|-
! Beach !! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
! Beach !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>14 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>14 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>14 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>14 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>14 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>14 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.1 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|}
|}
<small>Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.</small>
<small>Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.</small>

Revision as of 10:47, 3 November 2026

El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Tuesday 3 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.

⚠️ Heavy rain possible

  • Today: Salinas (13 mm, 86%), La Libertad (13 mm, 86%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 86%), San Pablo (15 mm, 86%), Palmar (12 mm, 86%), Ayangue (12 mm, 100%), Valdivia (11 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (14 mm, 100%), Cadeate (14 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (14 mm, 100%), Montañita (14 mm, 100%), Olón (9 mm, 100%), San José (9 mm, 100%), La Entrada (9 mm, 100%), Ayampe (9 mm, 100%)
  • Tomorrow: Salinas (32 mm, 88%), La Libertad (32 mm, 88%), Santa Elena (32 mm, 88%), San Pablo (37 mm, 88%), Palmar (35 mm, 88%), Ayangue (35 mm, 99%), Valdivia (41 mm, 99%), Libertador Bolívar (41 mm, 99%), Cadeate (41 mm, 99%), Manglaralto (41 mm, 99%), Montañita (41 mm, 99%), Olón (13 mm, 99%), San José (13 mm, 99%), La Entrada (13 mm, 99%), Ayampe (8 mm, 99%)

Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.

🌊 El Niño watch

Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2)
+5.4°C
Much warmer than normal
Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct 		4-week trend
Steady 		Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)
+3.4°C
the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks
Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks

What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.

Today

Town Conditions High / Low Rain Humidity UV Wind Waves Sea state Sea temp
The Peninsula
Salinas 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 86% · 13.0 mm 83% (max 97%) 9 (Very high) 17 km/h SW 1.8 m · 13 s SW Moderate 29.0°C
La Libertad 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 25°C 86% · 13.0 mm 83% (max 97%) 9 (Very high) 17 km/h SW 1.4 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.3°C
Santa Elena 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 25°C 86% · 13.0 mm 83% (max 97%) 9 (Very high) 17 km/h SW 1.4 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.3°C
Ruta del Spondylus
San Pablo 🌧️ Rain showers 31° / 24°C 86% · 15.1 mm 87% (max 99%) 9 (Very high) 17 km/h SW 0.9 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Palmar 🌧️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 86% · 12.2 mm 89% (max 99%) 8 (Very high) 16 km/h SW 1.0 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.2°C
Ayangue 🌧️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 12.2 mm 89% (max 99%) 8 (Very high) 16 km/h SW 1.2 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Valdivia 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 11.2 mm 89% (max 96%) 8 (Very high) 16 km/h S 1.0 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Libertador Bolívar 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 14.0 mm 90% (max 97%) 8 (Very high) 14 km/h S 1.1 m · 12 s SW Slight 29.3°C
Cadeate 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 14.0 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 14 km/h S 1.3 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.3°C
Manglaralto 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 14.0 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 14 km/h S 1.3 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.3°C
Montañita 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 14.0 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 14 km/h S 1.3 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.4°C
Olón 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 8.5 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 12 km/h S 1.3 m · 12 s SW Moderate 29.4°C
San José 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 8.5 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 12 km/h S 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.4°C
La Entrada 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24°C 100% · 8.5 mm 90% (max 97%) 7 (High) 12 km/h S 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.4°C
Ayampe 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24°C 100% · 8.5 mm 90% (max 98%) 7 (High) 11 km/h S 1.2 m · 11 s SW Slight 29.4°C

7-day outlook

7-day temperature and chance of rain
7-day temperature and chance of rain

The Peninsula

Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9
🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 86%
Humidity 83%		 🌧️
Rain showers
28° / 25°
💧 88%
Humidity 85%		 🌦️
Drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 83%
Humidity 82%		 🌧️
Rain showers
28° / 24°
💧 86%
Humidity 87%		 🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 64%
Humidity 85%		 🌦️
Drizzle
29° / 25°
💧 82%
Humidity 85%		 🌦️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 86%
Humidity 87%

Ruta del Spondylus

Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9
🌦️
Rain showers
30° / 24°
💧 98%
Humidity 90%		 🌧️
Rain showers
29° / 24°
💧 97%
Humidity 90%		 🌦️
Drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 85%
Humidity 86%		 🌦️
Rain showers
28° / 24°
💧 84%
Humidity 89%		 🌦️
Light drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 60%
Humidity 86%		 🌦️
Drizzle
30° / 24°
💧 81%
Humidity 86%		 🌧️
Heavy drizzle
29° / 24°
💧 93%
Humidity 90%

Waves and sea conditions

7-day maximum wave height
7-day maximum wave height
Beach Tue 3 Wed 4 Thu 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun 8 Mon 9
Salinas 1.8 m
13 s SW
Moderate		 1.8 m
13 s SW
Moderate		 1.6 m
13 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate		 1.2 m
13 s SW
Slight		 1.2 m
14 s SW
Slight		 1.3 m
13 s SW
Moderate
La Libertad 1.4 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.5 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
Santa Elena 1.4 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.5 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight
San Pablo 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
10 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.6 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.6 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.6 m
12 s SW
Slight
Palmar 1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
10 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s W
Slight		 0.7 m
14 s W
Slight		 0.7 m
14 s W
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
Ayangue 1.2 m
12 s SW
Slight		 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s W
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s W
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s W
Slight
Valdivia 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s W
Slight		 0.7 m
14 s W
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s W
Slight
Libertador Bolívar 1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.7 m
13 s SW
Slight
Cadeate 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
Manglaralto 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
12 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
13 s SW
Slight
Montañita 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
Olón 1.3 m
12 s SW
Moderate		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.0 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
San José 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
La Entrada 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight
Ayampe 1.2 m
11 s SW
Slight		 1.3 m
11 s SW
Moderate		 1.1 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.9 m
11 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight		 0.8 m
12 s SW
Slight

Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.

See also

Retrieved from "http://ecuawiki.com/index.php?title=El_Niño_Report&oldid=21955"