El Niño Report
El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Thursday 5 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.
⚠️ Heavy rain possible
- Today: Salinas (65 mm, 99%), La Libertad (65 mm, 99%), Santa Elena (65 mm, 99%), San Pablo (35 mm, 99%), Palmar (19 mm, 99%), Ayangue (19 mm, 94%), Valdivia (17 mm, 94%), Libertador Bolívar (25 mm, 94%), Cadeate (25 mm, 94%), Manglaralto (25 mm, 94%), Montañita (25 mm, 94%), Olón (40 mm, 94%), San José (40 mm, 94%), La Entrada (40 mm, 94%), Ayampe (38 mm, 94%)
- Tomorrow: Salinas (6 mm, 92%), La Libertad (6 mm, 92%), Santa Elena (6 mm, 92%), San Pablo (6 mm, 92%), Palmar (4 mm, 92%), Ayangue (4 mm, 92%), Valdivia (7 mm, 92%), Libertador Bolívar (9 mm, 92%), Cadeate (9 mm, 92%), Manglaralto (9 mm, 92%), Montañita (9 mm, 92%), Olón (7 mm, 92%), San José (7 mm, 92%), La Entrada (7 mm, 92%), Ayampe (12 mm, 92%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.
🌊 El Niño watch
| Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2) +5.4°C Much warmer than normal Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct |
4-week trend Steady |
Central Pacific (Niño 3.4) +3.4°C the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño |
What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.
Today
| Town | Conditions | High / Low | Rain | Humidity | UV | Wind | Waves | Sea state | Sea temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Peninsula | |||||||||
| Salinas | ⛈️ Thunderstorm | 28° / 24°C | 99% · 65.0 mm | 88% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h W | 1.7 m · 13 s SW | Moderate | 29.1°C |
| La Libertad | ⛈️ Thunderstorm | 28° / 24°C | 99% · 65.0 mm | 88% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h W | 1.4 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Santa Elena | ⛈️ Thunderstorm | 28° / 24°C | 99% · 65.0 mm | 88% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h W | 1.4 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Ruta del Spondylus | |||||||||
| San Pablo | ⛈️ Violent showers | 28° / 24°C | 99% · 34.8 mm | 90% (max 98%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 0.9 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| Palmar | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 24°C | 99% · 18.8 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 8 (Very high) | 12 km/h NW | 1.0 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Ayangue | 🌧️ Rain showers | 28° / 24°C | 94% · 18.8 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 8 (High) | 12 km/h NW | 1.1 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| Valdivia | 🌧️ Rain showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 16.5 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 0.9 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Libertador Bolívar | ⛈️ Violent showers | 26° / 24°C | 94% · 25.0 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.0 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| Cadeate | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 25.0 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 7 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| Manglaralto | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 25.0 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 7 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| Montañita | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 25.0 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 7 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| Olón | ⛈️ Violent showers | 28° / 24°C | 94% · 39.7 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 7 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| San José | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 39.7 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| La Entrada | ⛈️ Violent showers | 27° / 24°C | 94% · 39.7 mm | 92% (max 99%) | 8 (High) | 13 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
| Ayampe | ⛈️ Violent showers | 28° / 24°C | 94% · 37.6 mm | 92% (max 100%) | 8 (High) | 10 km/h NW | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.5°C |
7-day outlook
The Peninsula
| Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 | Wed 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⛈️ Thunderstorm 28° / 24° 💧 99% Humidity 88% |
🌦️ Rain showers 28° / 24° 💧 92% Humidity 87% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 80% Humidity 87% |
🌧️ Heavy drizzle 30° / 25° 💧 91% Humidity 84% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 94% Humidity 87% |
🌧️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 90% Humidity 86% |
🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 76% Humidity 86% |
Ruta del Spondylus
| Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 | Wed 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⛈️ Violent showers 27° / 24° 💧 95% Humidity 91% |
🌦️ Rain showers 28° / 23° 💧 92% Humidity 89% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 78% Humidity 89% |
🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 84% Humidity 87% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 96% Humidity 88% |
🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 93% Humidity 89% |
🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 89% |
Waves and sea conditions
| Beach | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 | Tue 10 | Wed 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas | 1.7 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
| La Libertad | 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.1 m 13 s SW Slight |
| Santa Elena | 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.1 m 13 s SW Slight |
| San Pablo | 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Palmar | 1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 12 s W Slight |
| Ayangue | 1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 12 s W Slight |
0.9 m 12 s W Slight |
| Valdivia | 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 12 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.6 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 12 s W Slight |
| Libertador Bolívar | 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Cadeate | 1.2 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Manglaralto | 1.2 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Montañita | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Olón | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 12 s SW Slight |
| San José | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
| La Entrada | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
| Ayampe | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.