El Niño Report/Archive/2026-11-03
Archived report from Tuesday 3 November 2026. See El Niño Report for today's report.
El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Tuesday 3 November 2026
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow INAMHI and the Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos.
⚠️ Heavy rain possible
- Today: Salinas (13 mm, 86%), La Libertad (13 mm, 86%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 86%), San Pablo (15 mm, 86%), Palmar (12 mm, 86%), Ayangue (12 mm, 100%), Valdivia (11 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (14 mm, 100%), Cadeate (14 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (14 mm, 100%), Montañita (14 mm, 100%), Olón (9 mm, 100%), San José (9 mm, 100%), La Entrada (9 mm, 100%), Ayampe (9 mm, 100%)
- Tomorrow: Salinas (32 mm, 88%), La Libertad (32 mm, 88%), Santa Elena (32 mm, 88%), San Pablo (37 mm, 88%), Palmar (35 mm, 88%), Ayangue (35 mm, 99%), Valdivia (41 mm, 99%), Libertador Bolívar (41 mm, 99%), Cadeate (41 mm, 99%), Manglaralto (41 mm, 99%), Montañita (41 mm, 99%), Olón (13 mm, 99%), San José (13 mm, 99%), La Entrada (13 mm, 99%), Ayampe (8 mm, 99%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check Natural Hazards on the Peninsula and Emergency Contacts.
🌊 El Niño watch
| Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2) +5.4°C Much warmer than normal Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct |
4-week trend Steady |
Central Pacific (Niño 3.4) +3.4°C the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño |
What this means: Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see NOAA's ENSO advisory and INAMHI.
Today
| Town | Conditions | High / Low | Rain | Humidity | UV | Wind | Waves | Sea state | Sea temp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Peninsula | |||||||||
| Salinas | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 24°C | 86% · 13.0 mm | 83% (max 97%) | 9 (Very high) | 17 km/h SW | 1.8 m · 13 s SW | Moderate | 29.0°C |
| La Libertad | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 25°C | 86% · 13.0 mm | 83% (max 97%) | 9 (Very high) | 17 km/h SW | 1.4 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Santa Elena | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 25°C | 86% · 13.0 mm | 83% (max 97%) | 9 (Very high) | 17 km/h SW | 1.4 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Ruta del Spondylus | |||||||||
| San Pablo | 🌧️ Rain showers | 31° / 24°C | 86% · 15.1 mm | 87% (max 99%) | 9 (Very high) | 17 km/h SW | 0.9 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Palmar | 🌧️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 86% · 12.2 mm | 89% (max 99%) | 8 (Very high) | 16 km/h SW | 1.0 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.2°C |
| Ayangue | 🌧️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 12.2 mm | 89% (max 99%) | 8 (Very high) | 16 km/h SW | 1.2 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Valdivia | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 24°C | 100% · 11.2 mm | 89% (max 96%) | 8 (Very high) | 16 km/h S | 1.0 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Libertador Bolívar | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 24°C | 100% · 14.0 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 8 (Very high) | 14 km/h S | 1.1 m · 12 s SW | Slight | 29.3°C |
| Cadeate | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 14.0 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 14 km/h S | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Manglaralto | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 14.0 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 14 km/h S | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.3°C |
| Montañita | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 14.0 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 14 km/h S | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| Olón | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 8.5 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 12 km/h S | 1.3 m · 12 s SW | Moderate | 29.4°C |
| San José | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 24°C | 100% · 8.5 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 12 km/h S | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| La Entrada | 🌦️ Rain showers | 29° / 24°C | 100% · 8.5 mm | 90% (max 97%) | 7 (High) | 12 km/h S | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
| Ayampe | 🌦️ Rain showers | 30° / 24°C | 100% · 8.5 mm | 90% (max 98%) | 7 (High) | 11 km/h S | 1.2 m · 11 s SW | Slight | 29.4°C |
7-day outlook
The Peninsula
| Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 83% |
🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 25° 💧 88% Humidity 85% |
🌦️ Drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 83% Humidity 82% |
🌧️ Rain showers 28° / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 87% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 64% Humidity 85% |
🌦️ Drizzle 29° / 25° 💧 82% Humidity 85% |
🌦️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 87% |
Ruta del Spondylus
| Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌦️ Rain showers 30° / 24° 💧 98% Humidity 90% |
🌧️ Rain showers 29° / 24° 💧 97% Humidity 90% |
🌦️ Drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 85% Humidity 86% |
🌦️ Rain showers 28° / 24° 💧 84% Humidity 89% |
🌦️ Light drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 60% Humidity 86% |
🌦️ Drizzle 30° / 24° 💧 81% Humidity 86% |
🌧️ Heavy drizzle 29° / 24° 💧 93% Humidity 90% |
Waves and sea conditions
| Beach | Tue 3 | Wed 4 | Thu 5 | Fri 6 | Sat 7 | Sun 8 | Mon 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salinas | 1.8 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.8 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.6 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
1.2 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 14 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate |
| La Libertad | 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
| Santa Elena | 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
| San Pablo | 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 10 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.6 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Palmar | 1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 10 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 14 s W Slight |
0.7 m 14 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
| Ayangue | 1.2 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
0.8 m 13 s W Slight |
| Valdivia | 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
0.7 m 14 s W Slight |
0.7 m 13 s W Slight |
| Libertador Bolívar | 1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.7 m 13 s SW Slight |
| Cadeate | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
| Manglaralto | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 12 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 13 s SW Slight |
| Montañita | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Olón | 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.0 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| San José | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| La Entrada | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
| Ayampe | 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight |
1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate |
1.1 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.9 m 11 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
0.8 m 12 s SW Slight |
Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.