Este-fan: Archive: El Niño Report for 2026-11-03

2026-11-03T10:47:29Z

Archive: El Niño Report for 2026-11-03

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Archived report from Tuesday 3 November 2026. See [[El Niño Report]] for today's report.

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<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
<div style="background:#eef6fb;border-left:5px solid #1e78b4;padding:10px 14px;margin-bottom:12px">
'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Tuesday 3 November 2026''' 
Updated automatically every morning (last update 05:47, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].
</div>

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'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible''' 
* '''Today:''' Salinas (13 mm, 86%), La Libertad (13 mm, 86%), Santa Elena (13 mm, 86%), San Pablo (15 mm, 86%), Palmar (12 mm, 86%), Ayangue (12 mm, 100%), Valdivia (11 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (14 mm, 100%), Cadeate (14 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (14 mm, 100%), Montañita (14 mm, 100%), Olón (9 mm, 100%), San José (9 mm, 100%), La Entrada (9 mm, 100%), Ayampe (9 mm, 100%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (32 mm, 88%), La Libertad (32 mm, 88%), Santa Elena (32 mm, 88%), San Pablo (37 mm, 88%), Palmar (35 mm, 88%), Ayangue (35 mm, 99%), Valdivia (41 mm, 99%), Libertador Bolívar (41 mm, 99%), Cadeate (41 mm, 99%), Manglaralto (41 mm, 99%), Montañita (41 mm, 99%), Olón (13 mm, 99%), San José (13 mm, 99%), La Entrada (13 mm, 99%), Ayampe (8 mm, 99%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
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== 🌊 El Niño watch ==
{| style="width:100%;border-collapse:separate;border-spacing:8px"
|-
| style="width:34%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center;border-top:5px solid #c0392b" | Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2) +5.4°C '''Much warmer than normal''' Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | 4-week trend Steady
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | Central Pacific (Niño 3.4) +3.4°C the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño
|}
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].

== Today ==
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="width:100%"
! Town !! Conditions !! High / Low !! Rain !! Humidity !! UV !! Wind !! Waves !! Sea state !! Sea temp
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
|-
| [[Salinas]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% (max 97%) || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.8 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.0°C
|-
| [[La Libertad]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% (max 97%) || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Santa Elena]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 25°C || 86% · 13.0 mm || 83% (max 97%) || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 1.4 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
|-
| [[San Pablo]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 31° / 24°C || 86% · 15.1 mm || 87% (max 99%) || 9 (Very high) || 17 km/h SW || 0.9 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Palmar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 86% · 12.2 mm || 89% (max 99%) || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h SW || 1.0 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 12.2 mm || 89% (max 99%) || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h SW || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 11.2 mm || 89% (max 96%) || 8 (Very high) || 16 km/h S || 1.0 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 8 (Very high) || 14 km/h S || 1.1 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Cadeate]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Manglaralto]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.3°C
|-
| [[Montañita]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 14.0 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 14 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
| [[Olón]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 12 s SW || Moderate || 29.4°C
|-
| [[San José]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
| [[La Entrada]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% (max 97%) || 7 (High) || 12 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|-
| [[Ayampe]] || 🌦️ Rain showers || 30° / 24°C || 100% · 8.5 mm || 90% (max 98%) || 7 (High) || 11 km/h S || 1.2 m · 11 s SW || Slight || 29.4°C
|}

== 7-day outlook ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]

=== The Peninsula ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
| 🌦️ Rain showers '''29°''' / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 83% || 🌧️ Rain showers '''28°''' / 25° 💧 88% Humidity 85% || 🌦️ Drizzle '''29°''' / 24° 💧 83% Humidity 82% || 🌧️ Rain showers '''28°''' / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 87% || 🌦️ Rain showers '''29°''' / 24° 💧 64% Humidity 85% || 🌦️ Drizzle '''29°''' / 25° 💧 82% Humidity 85% || 🌦️ Rain showers '''29°''' / 24° 💧 86% Humidity 87%
|}

=== Ruta del Spondylus ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
| 🌦️ Rain showers '''30°''' / 24° 💧 98% Humidity 90% || 🌧️ Rain showers '''29°''' / 24° 💧 97% Humidity 90% || 🌦️ Drizzle '''29°''' / 24° 💧 85% Humidity 86% || 🌦️ Rain showers '''28°''' / 24° 💧 84% Humidity 89% || 🌦️ Light drizzle '''29°''' / 24° 💧 60% Humidity 86% || 🌦️ Drizzle '''30°''' / 24° 💧 81% Humidity 86% || 🌧️ Heavy drizzle '''29°''' / 24° 💧 93% Humidity 90%
|}

== Waves and sea conditions ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-03_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]

{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Beach !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8 !! Mon 9
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.8 m 13 s SW Moderate || 1.8 m 13 s SW Moderate || 1.6 m 13 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate || 1.2 m 13 s SW Slight || 1.2 m 14 s SW Slight || 1.3 m 13 s SW Moderate
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 13 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.4 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.5 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 13 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 10 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.6 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.6 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.6 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.6 m 12 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 10 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s W Slight || 0.7 m 14 s W Slight || 0.7 m 14 s W Slight || 0.7 m 13 s W Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.2 m 12 s SW Slight || 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 13 s W Slight || 0.8 m 13 s W Slight || 0.8 m 13 s W Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s W Slight || 0.7 m 14 s W Slight || 0.7 m 13 s W Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.1 m 12 s SW Slight || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.7 m 13 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 12 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 13 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 12 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 13 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 13 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.3 m 12 s SW Moderate || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.0 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m 11 s SW Slight || 1.3 m 11 s SW Moderate || 1.1 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.9 m 11 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight || 0.8 m 12 s SW Slight
|}
Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.

== See also ==
* [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]]
* [[Emergency Contacts]]
* [[Beaches]]
* [[Whale Watching Season]]
* [[Special:PrefixIndex/El Niño Report/Archive/|Past El Niño Reports]]

[[Category:El Niño Report Archive|2026-11-03]]

El Niño Report/Archive/2026-11-03 - Revision history

Este-fan: Archive: El Niño Report for 2026-11-03