View source for El Niño Report/Archive/2026-11-02

<small>Archived report from Monday 2 November 2026. See [[El Niño Report]] for today's report.</small>

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<div style="text-align:right;font-size:0.9em">🇪🇨 [[El Niño Report/es|Lea este informe en español]]</div>
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'''El Niño Report — Peninsula and Ruta del Spondylus, Monday 2 November 2026'''<br/>
<small>Updated automatically every morning (last update 17:21, Ecuador time). Ocean data from NOAA, forecast from [https://open-meteo.com Open-Meteo] (CC BY 4.0). This is not an official warning service — for official alerts follow [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI] and the [https://www.gestionderiesgos.gob.ec Secretaría de Gestión de Riesgos].</small>
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'''⚠️ Heavy rain possible'''<br/>
* '''Today:''' Salinas (23 mm, 100%), La Libertad (23 mm, 100%), Santa Elena (23 mm, 100%), San Pablo (29 mm, 100%), Palmar (25 mm, 100%), Ayangue (25 mm, 100%), Valdivia (24 mm, 100%), Libertador Bolívar (26 mm, 100%), Cadeate (26 mm, 100%), Manglaralto (26 mm, 100%), Montañita (26 mm, 100%), Olón (23 mm, 100%), San José (23 mm, 100%), La Entrada (23 mm, 100%), Ayampe (24 mm, 100%)
* '''Tomorrow:''' Salinas (10 mm, 78%), La Libertad (10 mm, 78%), Santa Elena (10 mm, 78%), San Pablo (16 mm, 78%), Palmar (14 mm, 78%), Ayangue (14 mm, 93%), Valdivia (13 mm, 93%), Libertador Bolívar (10 mm, 93%), Cadeate (10 mm, 93%), Manglaralto (10 mm, 93%), Montañita (10 mm, 93%), Olón (8 mm, 93%), San José (8 mm, 93%), La Entrada (8 mm, 93%), Ayampe (5 mm, 93%)
Avoid streams and flood-prone streets, and check [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]] and [[Emergency Contacts]].
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== 🌊 El Niño watch ==
{| style="width:100%;border-collapse:separate;border-spacing:8px"
|-
| style="width:34%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center;border-top:5px solid #c0392b" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Ocean off Ecuador (Niño 1+2)</span><br/><span style="font-size:2.4em;font-weight:bold;color:#c0392b">+5.4°C</span><br/>'''Much warmer than normal'''<br/><small>Sea 26.7°C · week of 28 Oct</small>
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">4-week trend</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">Steady</span>
| style="width:33%;background:#fff;border:1px solid #dde3ea;padding:12px;text-align:center" | <span style="font-size:0.9em;color:#555">Central Pacific (Niño 3.4)</span><br/><span style="font-size:1.6em;font-weight:bold">+3.4°C</span><br/><small>the region NOAA uses to declare El Niño</small>
|}
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_nino12.png|center|900px|Niño 1+2 sea temperature anomaly, last 12 weeks]]
<small>'''What this means:''' Niño 1+2 is the patch of ocean right off the coast of Ecuador and Peru. When it runs warm for weeks, the Peninsula usually gets more rain, warmer nights and a higher risk of flooding — this is the "coastal El Niño". These numbers are NOAA's weekly measurements; they are not an official El Niño declaration. For the official status see [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ NOAA's ENSO advisory] and [https://www.inamhi.gob.ec INAMHI].</small>

== Today ==
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="width:100%"
! Town !! Conditions !! High / Low !! Rain !! Humidity !! UV !! Wind !! Waves !! Sea state !! Sea temp
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''The Peninsula'''
|-
| [[Salinas]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.7 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.0°C
|-
| [[La Libertad]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.4 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.1°C
|-
| [[Santa Elena]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.4 mm || 88% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 13 km/h S || 1.4 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.1°C
|-
| colspan="10" style="background:#f4f6f8" | '''Ruta del Spondylus'''
|-
| [[San Pablo]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 28.7 mm || 91% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 4 (Moderate) || 12 km/h S || 0.9 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.1°C
|-
| [[Palmar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 24.9 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.0 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.0°C
|-
| [[Ayangue]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 24.9 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.2 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Valdivia]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 23.6 mm || 92% <small>(max 97%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h SE || 1.0 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 23°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.1 m · 13 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Cadeate]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Manglaralto]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Montañita]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 28° / 24°C || 100% · 25.7 mm || 94% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 12 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Olón]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 2 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.3 m · 13 s SW || Moderate || 29.2°C
|-
| [[San José]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[La Entrada]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 22.7 mm || 92% <small>(max 98%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 10 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|-
| [[Ayampe]] || 🌧️ Rain showers || 29° / 24°C || 100% · 23.7 mm || 93% <small>(max 99%)</small> || 3 (Low) || 11 km/h S || 1.2 m · 12 s SW || Slight || 29.2°C
|}

== 7-day outlook ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_temperature_rain.png|center|900px|7-day temperature and chance of rain]]

=== The Peninsula ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 78%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 82%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 73%<br/>Humidity 83%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 23°<br/><small>💧 73%<br/>Humidity 85%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''28°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 85%<br/>Humidity 84%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 25°<br/><small>💧 88%<br/>Humidity 88%</small>
|}

=== Ruta del Spondylus ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
|-
| 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''28°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 100%<br/>Humidity 93%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 91%<br/>Humidity 89%</small> || 🌧️<br/><small>Rain showers</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 88%<br/>Humidity 88%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 79%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 79%<br/>Humidity 86%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Light drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 70%<br/>Humidity 87%</small> || 🌦️<br/><small>Drizzle</small><br/>'''29°''' / 24°<br/><small>💧 85%<br/>Humidity 91%</small>
|}

== Waves and sea conditions ==
[[File:El_Nino_Report_2026-11-02_waves.png|center|900px|7-day maximum wave height]]

{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;width:100%"
|-
! Beach !! Mon 2 !! Tue 3 !! Wed 4 !! Thu 5 !! Fri 6 !! Sat 7 !! Sun 8
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Salinas]] || 1.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>14 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Libertad]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Santa Elena]] || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.4 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.5 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San Pablo]] || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Palmar]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>10 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>14 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayangue]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Valdivia]] || 1.0 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small> || 0.6 m<br/><small>13 s W<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Libertador Bolívar]] || 1.1 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Cadeate]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Manglaralto]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Montañita]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Olón]] || 1.3 m<br/><small>13 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.1 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[San José]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[La Entrada]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|-
| style="text-align:left" | [[Ayampe]] || 1.2 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>12 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.3 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Moderate</small> || 1.0 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.9 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.8 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small> || 0.7 m<br/><small>11 s SW<br/>Slight</small>
|}
<small>Daily maximum of swell plus wind waves, just offshore; the shore may differ. Period in seconds; direction the waves come from. Sea state (Douglas scale): Smooth < 0.5 m · Slight 0.5–1.25 m · Moderate 1.25–2.5 m · Rough 2.5–4 m.</small>

== See also ==
* [[Natural Hazards on the Peninsula]]
* [[Emergency Contacts]]
* [[Beaches]]
* [[Whale Watching Season]]
* [[Special:PrefixIndex/El Niño Report/Archive/|Past El Niño Reports]]

[[Category:El Niño Report Archive|2026-11-02]]